Your job has 3.9 years left. That's the average

Company lifespan: about 15 years.

Median job tenure: 3.9 years.

Your seat dies roughly four times faster than the company does. Everyone worries about the wrong one. 🪑

Supporting data:
Tenure fell from 4.6 years in 2014 to 3.9 in 2024, a 15% drop, the lowest since 2002 📉

22% of workers have been in their current job under a year.

12 to 13 jobs across a working life.

Ages 25-34: 2.7 years.

Ages 55-64: 9.6 years.

The young aren't disloyal, they're just still in the churn 🎢

Public sector 6.2 years,

private 3.5.

Nearly double.

Hospitality 2.1 years,

mining and oil 5.7,

manufacturing 4.9

Prediction for the future:
Less stability for about five years, then more. And AI isn't the main cause of either. 🎢

A February 2026 survey of \~1,000 US business leaders found 21% had already frozen entry-level hiring because of AI, 36% expect to by year end, 47% by 2027.

In the same quarter, 67% of CEOs said AI is creating entry-level jobs while 66% of enterprises said they're cutting them.

Both can't be right, and the answers track who funded the research.

My take in one line: stability isn't declining, it's being rationed. The entrance is closing, and the people already inside will end up more secure than they've been in decades. Bad news for anyone starting, quietly good news for anyone already in. 🎯